Thursday, January 22, 2009

My Oscar Predictions

The Academy just released the nominations for the Oscars. There are some surprises, but nothing too crazy. Here are my predictions and who I think should win, and my reasons behind them:


  • The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • Frost/Nixon
  • Milk
  • The Reader
  • Slumdog Millionaire

I think that Benjamin Button and Slumdog are both worthy of winning Best Picture. But, due to the momentum its been gathering after the Golden Globes, I think that Slumdog will win Best Picture, although I wish that WALL-E would have gotten its nomination for Best Picture.

  • Richard Jenkins-The Visitor
  • Frank Langella-Frost/Nixon
  • Brad Pitt-The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • Sean Penn-Milk
  • Mickey Rourke-The Wrestler

I think that Brad Pitt should definitely win this award. He was a very good actor in Benjamin Button. But, unfortunately, Sean Penn will win for Milk. Don't get me wrong, he was great in Milk, but, for political reasons, he'll beat Brad Pitt who was a better actor, in my opinion.


  • Anne Hathaway-Rachel Getting Married
  • Angelina Jolie-Changeling
  • Melissa Leo-Frozen River
  • Meryl Streep-Doubt
  • Kate Winslet-The Reader
I think that Kate Winslet will win this award--and I am so glad that she was not nominated for Revolutionary Road which looks like the most boring and plotless piece of Oscar-fodder I have ever seen.


  • Josh Brolin-Milk
  • Robert Downey Jr.-Tropic Thunder
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman-Doubt
  • Heath Ledger-The Dark Knight
  • Michael Shannon-Revolutionary Road

It's a tie for me between Robert Downey and Heath Ledger for best supporting actor. Downey was really, really funny and witty, and was frankly a good actor (also it would be ironic if he won, since in Tropic Thunder his character is supposed to be an award winner). Heath Ledger will definitely win. Since he is dead, and since he deserves it. Yes, Robert Downey Jr. was amazing and is just as deserving, but Ledger's portrayal of the Joker was so creepy, funny and perfect that he will definitely get this award.


  • Amy Adams-Doubt
  • Penelope Cruz-Vicky Cristina Barcelona
  • Viola Davis-Doubt
  • Taraji P. Henson-The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • Marisa Tomei-The Wrestler
I think that Amy Adams will win for her role in Doubt. But I think that Eve from WALL-E should win, but she wasn't nominated.


  • David Fincher-The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • Ron Howard-Frost/Nixon
  • Gus Van Sant-Milk
  • Stephen Daldry-The Reader
  • Danny Boyle-Slumdog Millionaire

I think that David Fincher should and will win for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button. The film was just phenomenal, mostly due to the direction given by Fincher.


  • The Baader Meinhof Complex-Germany
  • The Class-France
  • Departures-Japan
  • Revanche-Austria
  • Waltz With Bashir-Israel
Waltz With Bashir should and will win for the foreign film category.


  • Eric Roth and Robin Swicord-The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • John Patrick Shanley-Doubt
  • Peter Morgan-Frost/Nixon
  • David Hare-The Reader
  • Simon Beaufoy-Slumdog Millionaire
This one is a tie for me between Slumdog and Benjamin Button. I'd be happy if either movie won, since they were both great films with great stories. But since I have to predict the winner, I'll say Slumdog due, once again, to its momentum from the Golden Globes.


  • Courtney Hunt-Frozen River
  • Mike Leigh-Happy-Go-Lucky
  • Martin McDonagh-In Bruges
  • Dustin Lance Black-Milk
  • Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon and Pete Docter-WALL-E

WALL-E!! It was the best movie of last year. It didn't get nominated for Best Picture, so it had better win this category. You cannot deny that WALL-E's story is one of romance, action, sci-fi, adventure, and a truly touching connection between two things that we didn't think could love. The tie-in with Hello, Dolly! is brilliant, the character of WALL-E is flawless, especially having the eyes be the only "emotional indicator". WALL-E hands-down had the best screenplay of last year. It should, and will, and had better win the best original screenplay.


  • Bolt
  • Kung Fu Panda
  • WALL-E

Look at my response to the previous category. Do I need to repeat myself? Nope. GO WALL-E!


  • Changeling
  • The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • The Dark Knight
  • The Duchess
  • Revolutionary Road
I want Benjamin Button to win this one as well; I can't stress enough how much I loved this movie. Its style. Its subtly. Its use of time periods and its character development. Alas, I think that they will give this one to The Dark Knight, which also had good art direction.


  • Changeling
  • The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • The Dark Knight
  • The Reader
  • Slumdog Millionaire
Benjamin Button will win this award, for good reason. There were some points in the movie where I thought, "This cinematographer really knows what he is doing". The shots were just perfectly lined up. Button should and will win this one.


  • The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • The Dark Knight
  • Slumdog Millionaire
  • WALL-E
  • Wanted

WALL-E! It had the best sound mixing. It should win, but, unfortunately, Hollywood doesn't yet take animated movies seriously. Hence the lack of a Best Picture nom for WALL-E. So, sadly, The Dark Knight is gonna take this one for the fancy BatPod sounds.


  • The Dark Knight
  • Iron Man
  • Slumdog Millionaire
  • WALL-E
  • Wanted
See my reply to the last category. I think WALL-E should win, but The Dark Knight will.


  • The Curious Case of Benjamin Button-Alexandre Desplat
  • Defiance-James Newton Howard
  • Milk-Danny Elfman
  • Slumdog Millionaire-A.R. Rahman
  • WALL-E-Thomas Newman
I think that Benjamin Button and WALL-E both had equally great scores. The score for Button captured the changes in time and the characters' emotions perfectly. WALL-E's score also portrayed the loneliness, longing for love, and space travel perfectly. But, since Hollywood doesn't think that animated movies are worthy of "real" awards, I think that Button will win.


  • Down to Earth from WALL-E-Peter Gabriel and Thomas Newman
  • Jai Ho from Slumdog Millionaire-A.R. Rahman and Gulzar
  • O Saya from Slumdog Millionaire-A.R. Rahman and Maya Arulpragasam
I want WALL-E to win as many awards as it can, as you may have noticed. So, I think that WALL-E should win this one, but Slumdog will.


  • Australia
  • The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • The Duchess
  • Milk
  • Revolutionary Road

Benjamin Button should and will win this one. The costumes helped the audience to really transport themselves to that specific time period.


  • The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • The Dark Knight
  • Frost/Nixon
  • Milk
  • Slumdog Millionaire
The Dark Knight will win this one. Although it is a tough call between that and Button.


  • The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • The Dark Knight
  • Hellboy II: The Golden Army

I would say that Button should win this one, but most of that was digital, so I think that Hellboy II should get it. Hellboy's make-up is awesome and realistic. Plus Guillermo Del Toro is really cool.


  • La Maison en Petits Cubes
  • Lavatory — Lovestory
  • Oktapodi
  • Presto
  • This Way Up

Definitely Presto. It was witty, relatable, fantastic and superbly animated. It was very creatively stylized and had a hilarious premise. Presto will, thankfully, win this one.


  • The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • The Dark Knight
  • Iron Man
This is a very tough one to call. I thought that the special effects in each of these movies was awesome. They are all deserving and all have the same chance at winning this one. I think that all of them should win it, but I think that Iron Man will win it. It has to win at least one award, right?

So, those are my predictions for the 81st Academy Awards. (You'll notice that I cut about 3 categories since I hadn't seen any of the films in them). As you can tell, I loved WALL-E, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Slumdog Millionaire, and The Dark Knight. Button got the most nominations at 13! Yay! Although I am very dissappointed that WALL-E didn't get a Best Picture nomination, and that it won't win big since it isn't considered to be a "real movie" when it is better thanevery other movie out there this year. Oh well. I guess only the actual results will let us know...

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